CropDoc
2008 Crop Situation Summary and Market Opportunities
Source: USDA
November-December 2008
Cr Pr 2-2 (12-08)
Crop
Production
National Agricultural Statistics Service
USDA
Washington, D.C.
Released December 11, 2008, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service
(NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For
information on "Crop Production" call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m.
to 4:00 p.m. ET.
All Cotton Production Up 1 Percent from November
All Orange Production Down Slightly from October
All Cotton production is forecast at 13.6 million 480-pound bales, up
1 percent from last month but down 29 percent from last year. Yield is
expected to average 843 pounds per harvested acre, up 6 pounds from last
month but down 36 pounds from the record high yield in 2007. Upland cotton
production is forecast at 13.2 million 480-pound bales, up 1 percent from
last month but down 28 percent from 2007. Producers are expecting increased
yields in the southeastern States with record yields expected in Alabama,
Florida, and South Carolina. American-Pima production is forecast at
444,000 bales, down 3 percent from last month and down 48 percent from last
year.
The U.S. all orange forecast for the 2008-09 season is 9.15 million tons,
down slightly from the October 1 forecast but 10 percent lower than the
2007-08 final utilization. Florida's all orange forecast, at 165 million
boxes (7.43 million tons), decreased 1.00 million boxes from the previous
forecast and is down 3 percent from last season's final utilization. Early,
midseason, and navel varieties in Florida are forecast at 87.0 million boxes
(3.92 million tons), down 1 percent from October but up 4 percent from last
season. Florida's Valencia forecast, at 78.0 million boxes (3.51 million
tons), is unchanged from the previous forecast but down 10 percent from the
2007-08 crop. Fruit size is below average for the early, midseason, and
navel crop and droppage is increasing at a faster than average rate. Current
fruit size and droppage are below average for the Valencia crop. Arizona,
California, and Texas orange production forecasts are carried forward from
October.
Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield forecast for the
2008-09 season is 1.58 gallons per box at 42 degrees Brix, down 1 percent
from the October forecast and 6 percent lower than last season's final yield
of 1.67 gallons per box. Projected yield from the 2008-09 early-midseason
and Valencia varieties will be published in the January Crop Production
report. All projections of yield assume the processing relationships this
season will be similar to those of the past several seasons.
This report was approved on December 11, 2008.
Secretary of
Agriculture
Edward T. Schafer
Agricultural Statistics Board
Acting Chairperson
Joseph J. Prusacki
Contents
Page
Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops
Cotton.................................................................4
Cumulative Boll Counts.............................................31
Cottonseed.............................................................5
Sugarcane.............................................................24
Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils
Dry Edible Beans.......................................................7
Noncitrus Fruits & Tree Nuts
Papayas................................................................5
Pecans................................................................23
Citrus Fruits
Grapefruit.........................................................6
Lemons.............................................................6
Oranges............................................................6
Tangelos...........................................................6
Tangerines and Mandarins...........................................6
Potatoes & Miscellaneous Crops
Potatoes.............................................................16
Fall Percent of Major Varieties Planted...........................21
Number of Hills by Type...........................................32
Harvest Loss by Type..............................................33
Grading Categories by Type........................................33
Size Categories by Type...........................................34
Size Categories: Long Potatoes....................................35
Coffee...............................................................24
Crop Comments................................................................38
Crop Summary.................................................................25
Information Contacts.........................................................44
Reliability of Production Data in this Report................................42
Weather Maps.................................................................36
Weather Summary..............................................................37
Cotton: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type, State,
and United States, 2007 and Forecasted December 1, 2008
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Area Harvested : Yield : Production 1/
Type :----------------------------------------------------------------------
and : : : : 2008 : :
State : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 :-------------------: 2007 : 2008
: : : : Nov 1 : Dec 1 : :
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
:--- 1,000 Acres -- -------- Pounds -------- 1,000 Bales 2/
:
Upland :
AL : 385.0 285.0 519 842 842 416.0 500.0
AZ : 168.0 128.0 1,469 1,425 1,500 514.0 400.0
AR : 850.0 640.0 1,071 1,013 990 1,896.0 1,320.0
CA : 194.0 117.0 1,608 1,559 1,518 650.0 370.0
FL : 81.0 65.0 687 812 886 116.0 120.0
GA : 995.0 940.0 801 843 843 1,660.0 1,650.0
KS : 43.0 28.0 639 686 686 57.2 40.0
LA : 330.0 260.0 1,017 517 517 699.0 280.0
MS : 655.0 360.0 966 867 947 1,318.0 710.0
MO : 379.0 307.0 968 1,048 1,048 764.0 670.0
NM : 39.0 34.0 1,095 1,115 1,115 89.0 79.0
NC : 490.0 438.0 767 800 844 783.0 770.0
OK : 165.0 155.0 817 805 805 281.0 260.0
SC : 158.0 134.0 486 860 931 160.0 260.0
TN : 510.0 280.0 565 917 917 600.0 535.0
TX : 4,700.0 3,350.0 843 731 731 8,250.0 5,100.0
VA : 59.0 64.0 829 863 788 101.9 105.0
:
US :10,201.0 7,585.0 864 827 833 18,355.1 13,169.0
:
Amer-Pima:
AZ : 2.5 1.0 883 960 960 4.6 2.0
CA : 257.0 151.0 1,481 1,335 1,272 793.0 400.0
NM : 4.6 3.0 856 800 800 8.2 5.0
TX : 24.0 15.0 920 1,024 1,184 46.0 37.0
:
US : 288.1 170.0 1,419 1,296 1,254 851.8 444.0
:
All :
AL : 385.0 285.0 519 842 842 416.0 500.0
AZ : 170.5 129.0 1,460 1,421 1,496 518.6 402.0
AR : 850.0 640.0 1,071 1,013 990 1,896.0 1,320.0
CA : 451.0 268.0 1,536 1,433 1,379 1,443.0 770.0
FL : 81.0 65.0 687 812 886 116.0 120.0
GA : 995.0 940.0 801 843 843 1,660.0 1,650.0
KS : 43.0 28.0 639 686 686 57.2 40.0
LA : 330.0 260.0 1,017 517 517 699.0 280.0
MS : 655.0 360.0 966 867 947 1,318.0 710.0
MO : 379.0 307.0 968 1,048 1,048 764.0 670.0
NM : 43.6 37.0 1,070 1,090 1,090 97.2 84.0
NC : 490.0 438.0 767 800 844 783.0 770.0
OK : 165.0 155.0 817 805 805 281.0 260.0
SC : 158.0 134.0 486 860 931 160.0 260.0
TN : 510.0 280.0 565 917 917 600.0 535.0
TX : 4,724.0 3,365.0 843 732 733 8,296.0 5,137.0
VA : 59.0 64.0 829 863 788 101.9 105.0
:
US :10,489.1 7,755.0 879 837 843 19,206.9 13,613.0
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Production ginned and to be ginned.
2/ 480-lb. net weight bale.
Cottonseed: Production, United States,
2006-2007 and Forecasted December 1, 2008
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Production
State :-----------------------------------------------------------------------
: 2006 : 2007 : 2008 1/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: 1,000 Tons
:
US : 7,347.9 6,588.7 4,628.0
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio.
Papayas: Area and Fresh Production by Month, Hawaii, 2007-2008
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Area : Fresh Production 1/
:-------------------------------------------------------------------
Month : Total in Crop : Harvested : :
:---------------------------------------------: 2007 : 2008
: 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : :
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: ---------------- Acres ---------------- 1,000 Pounds
:
Sep : 2,105 2,205 1,375 1,280 2,765 2,460
Oct : 2,105 2,210 1,535 1,350 3,340 2,965
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Utilized fresh production.
Citrus Fruits: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States,
2006-07, 2007-08 and Forecasted December 1, 2008 1/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Utilized Production : Utilized Production
: Boxes : Ton Equivalent
Crop and State :-------------------------------------------------------
:2006-07 : 2007-08 : 2008-09 :2006-07 : 2007-08 :2008-09
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
:------ 1,000 Boxes 2/ ----- ------ 1,000 Tons ------
Oranges :
Early Mid & :
Navel 3/ :
AZ 4/ : 200 230 150 7 9 6
CA 4/ : 34,500 48,500 32,000 1,294 1,819 1,200
FL : 65,600 83,500 87,000 2,952 3,757 3,915
TX 4/ : 1,600 1,500 1,300 68 64 55
US :101,900 133,730 120,450 4,321 5,649 5,176
Valencia :
AZ 4/ : 100 150 100 4 6 4
CA 4/ : 11,500 16,000 12,000 431 600 450
FL : 63,400 86,700 78,000 2,853 3,902 3,510
TX 4/ : 380 234 200 16 10 9
US : 75,380 103,084 90,300 3,304 4,518 3,973
All :
AZ 4/ : 300 380 250 11 15 10
CA 4/ : 46,000 64,500 44,000 1,725 2,419 1,650
FL :129,000 170,200 165,000 5,805 7,659 7,425
TX 4/ : 1,980 1,734 1,500 84 74 64
US :177,280 236,814 210,750 7,625 10,167 9,149
Grapefruit :
White :
FL : 9,300 9,000 7,000 395 383 298
Colored :
FL : 17,900 17,600 16,000 761 748 680
All :
AZ 4/ : 100 100 150 3 3 5
CA 4/ : 5,500 5,700 5,500 184 191 184
FL : 27,200 26,600 23,000 1,156 1,131 978
TX 4/ : 7,100 6,100 5,300 284 244 212
US : 39,900 38,500 33,950 1,627 1,569 1,379
Tangerines and Mandarins:
AZ 4/ 5/ : 300 400 300 11 15 11
CA 4/ 5/ : 3,500 5,700 6,300 131 214 236
FL : 4,600 5,500 4,900 219 261 233
US : 8,400 11,600 11,500 361 490 480
Lemons 4/ :
AZ : 2,500 1,500 2,500 95 57 95
CA : 18,500 17,000 19,000 703 646 722
US : 21,000 18,500 21,500 798 703 817
Tangelos :
FL : 1,250 1,500 1,500 56 68 68
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with
the completion of harvest the following year.
2/ Net lbs. per box: oranges-AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-AZ &
CA-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos-90; Temples-90; tangerines-AZ &
CA-75, FL-95.
3/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA. Early (including navel)
and midseason varieties in FL and TX. Small quantities of tangerines in
TX.
4/ Estimates for current year carried forward from previous forecast.
5/ Includes tangelos and tangors.
Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production
by State and United States, 2006 - 2007 and Forecasted December 1, 2008
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Area Planted : Area Harvested
State :--------------------------------------------------------------------
: 2006 : 2007 : 2008 : 2006 : 2007 : 2008
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: 1,000 Acres
:
CA : 67.0 59.0 52.0 65.0 58.0 51.9
CO : 70.0 48.0 48.0 60.0 46.0 44.0
ID : 105.0 90.0 80.0 103.0 89.0 79.0
KS : 11.0 6.5 6.0 10.0 6.0 5.5
MI : 225.0 200.0 200.0 215.0 195.0 195.0
MN : 145.0 150.0 150.0 135.0 145.0 145.0
MT : 19.5 18.3 15.0 18.6 16.6 14.0
NE : 140.0 110.0 135.0 124.0 107.0 124.0
NM : 8.2 7.5 9.3 8.2 7.5 9.3
NY : 19.0 17.0 17.0 18.0 16.5 16.8
ND : 670.0 690.0 660.0 640.0 665.0 640.0
OR : 10.0 8.0 4.8 9.8 7.9 4.7
SD : 21.5 13.0 8.5 19.0 11.7 8.3
TX : 20.0 17.0 24.0 18.0 16.2 21.4
UT : 3.0 1.5 1.2 0.5 1.3 1.2
WA : 61.0 60.0 50.0 60.5 60.0 50.0
WI : 5.6 6.1 6.5 5.5 6.0 6.4
WY : 29.0 25.0 32.5 27.5 24.0 31.5
:
US : 1,629.8 1,526.9 1,499.8 1,537.6 1,478.7 1,448.0
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
: Yield per Acre 1/ : Production 1/
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
: 2006 : 2007 : 2008 : 2006 : 2007 : 2008
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
: ---------- Pounds --------- ---------- 1,000 Cwt ---------
:
CA : 1,860 2,090 2,030 1,209 1,212 1,054
CO : 1,900 1,600 1,800 1,140 736 792
ID : 1,850 1,800 1,850 1,906 1,602 1,462
KS : 2,100 2,300 2,100 210 138 116
MI : 1,900 1,600 1,850 4,085 3,120 3,607
MN : 1,650 1,800 1,900 2,228 2,610 2,757
MT : 1,640 1,670 1,500 305 278 210
NE : 2,200 2,260 2,350 2,728 2,418 2,914
NM : 2,400 2,400 2,330 197 180 217
NY : 1,330 1,360 1,880 239 224 316
ND : 1,200 1,590 1,570 7,680 10,574 10,048
OR : 1,940 1,850 2,000 190 146 94
SD : 1,180 1,860 1,840 224 218 153
TX : 1,320 1,500 1,100 238 243 235
UT : 400 400 550 2 5 7
WA : 1,600 1,700 1,700 968 1,020 850
WI : 1,960 1,530 2,130 108 92 136
WY : 2,150 2,310 2,330 590 555 733
:
US : 1,577 1,716 1,775 24,247 25,371 25,701
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Clean Basis.
Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted and Harvested by Commercial
Class, State, and Total, 2006-2008 1/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Class : Area Planted : Area Harvested
and :--------------------------------------------------------------
State : 2006 : 2007 : 2008 : 2006 : 2007 : 2008
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: 1,000 Acres
:
Large Lima - CA : 12.9 13.9 15.5 12.5 13.8 15.5
:
Baby Lima - CA : 13.5 16.0 11.7 13.0 15.6 11.7
:
Navy :
ID : 5.2 3.3 3.2 5.1 3.3 3.2
MI : 80.0 61.0 62.0 77.5 59.5 60.5
MN : 62.0 56.0 62.0 56.4 54.0 60.0
NE : 3.1 2.7
ND : 120.0 96.0 123.0 113.0 89.0 118.0
OR : 0.8 0.6 0.8 0.6
SD : 7.5 4.0 3.4 6.4 3.9 3.3
WA : 0.6 0.6
WY : 1.5 1.0 1.5 1.4 0.9 1.4
:
Total : 280.7 221.9 255.1 263.9 211.2 246.4
:
Great Northern :
ID : 2.7 2.0 2.6 2.6 2.0 2.5
MI : 0.5 0.5
NE : 58.0 48.0 64.4 49.0 45.9 59.8
ND : 7.5 8.0 6.7 6.5 7.7 6.5
WY : 1.0 1.5 2.5 0.7 1.4 2.4
:
Total : 69.7 59.5 76.2 59.3 57.0 71.2
:
Small White :
ID : 1.2 0.4 1.2 0.4
OR : 0.4 0.4
WA : 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
:
Total : 2.1 0.4 0.5 2.1 0.4 0.5
:
Pinto :
CO : 59.0 37.0 36.0 50.0 36.0 34.0
ID : 26.0 25.0 20.5 25.5 24.7 20.2
KS : 11.0 6.5 5.4 10.0 6.0 5.0
MI : 5.0 4.0 1.8 4.9 3.9 1.7
MN : 16.0 22.0 16.0 15.3 21.0 15.5
MT : 10.7 8.5 9.0 10.5 8.4 8.0
NE : 64.3 48.0 51.3 59.5 47.4 45.5
NM : 8.2 7.5 8.5 8.2 7.5 8.5
ND : 453.0 502.0 446.0 435.0 487.0 433.0
OR : 1.0 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.4 0.7
SD : 2.4 1.9 1.7 2.1 1.9 1.6
UT : 3.0 1.5 1.2 0.5 1.3 1.2
WA : 6.3 8.3 6.1 6.2 8.3 6.1
WY : 25.0 21.5 25.0 24.0 20.8 24.3
:
Total : 690.9 694.1 629.2 652.6 674.6 605.3
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Missing data are included in "Other" class to avoid disclosure of individual
operations or no data were reported.
Dry Edible Beans: Yield and Production by Commercial
Class, State, and Total, 2006-2008 1/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Class : Yield per Acre 2/ : Production 2/
and :--------------------------------------------------------------
State : 2006 : 2007 : 2008 : 2006 : 2007 : 2008
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: ---------- Pounds --------- ------- 1,000 Cwt -------
:
Large Lima - CA : 1,910 2,140 2,190 239 302 340
:
Baby Lima - CA : 2,340 2,420 2,310 304 377 270
:
Navy :
ID : 2,470 2,670 2,470 126 88 79
MI : 1,960 1,660 1,920 1,520 990 1,162
MN : 1,650 1,850 1,950 930 999 1,171
NE : 2,000 54
ND : 1,400 1,810 1,770 1,585 1,611 2,087
OR : 1,650 2,200 13 13
SD : 1,200 2,400 2,100 77 94 69
WA : 2,170 13
WY : 2,500 2,220 2,360 35 20 33
:
Total : 1,649 1,806 1,867 4,353 3,815 4,601
:
Great Northern :
ID : 2,420 2,450 2,360 63 49 59
MI : 2,000 10
NE : 2,100 2,160 2,340 1,030 991 1,399
ND : 1,080 1,470 1,690 70 113 110
WY : 2,430 2,360 2,500 17 33 60
:
Total : 2,007 2,081 2,287 1,190 1,186 1,628
:
Small White :
ID : 2,330 2,500 28 10
OR : 1,990 8
WA : 2,000 2,000 10 10
:
Total : 2,190 2,500 2,000 46 10 10
:
Pinto :
CO : 1,900 1,560 1,750 950 562 595
ID : 2,500 2,510 2,300 638 620 465
KS : 2,100 2,300 2,100 210 138 105
MI : 1,900 1,490 1,880 93 58 32
MN : 1,500 1,750 1,800 230 367 279
MT : 2,230 2,280 2,240 234 192 179
NE : 2,290 2,390 2,370 1,363 1,132 1,078
NM : 2,400 2,400 2,340 197 180 199
ND : 1,150 1,560 1,540 4,988 7,606 6,660
OR : 2,250 2,500 2,100 20 10 15
SD : 1,900 2,700 2,500 40 51 40
UT : 350